Going by the past experiences of the spineless, cowardly, apologetic
and submissive Congress led Indian Govt’s response, Pakistani political and
military establishments could never anticipate the strong, massive and
effective response of the Narendra Modi led current Indian Govt to the ceasefire
violation by Pakistan at the Line of Control (LoC) and International Border.
They are shocked by the ferocity and volume of India’s retaliation and now
running for cover in the face of India's onslaught. Given complete freedom to
act by the Govt, the Indian Army and Border Security Force are firing back at
will from every spot the Pakistanis have targeted and systematically destroying
the Pak military infrastructure as well as killing both military and civilian
on that side. India's retaliation has been so effective that Pakistani
television channels have been directed by the Pak military and ISI to completely black out any media
coverage of the damage caused on the Pakistani side and not to show any visual
of the casualties or damage on the ground. Even the Pakistani newspaper “Dawn”, which was covering these
incidents widely, have been asked on wednesday
by the Pak Army to tone down reports about killing and damage on the Pakistani
side. Pakistan's military establishment is on the verge of losing face and not
liking the evolving situation as in Pak occupied Kashmir (POK), demonstrations
by the common people have already started against Pak Govt (Hindi news channel “India
TV” had covered the same extensively last night).
Indian Home Minister Rajnath Singh told Pakistan in no uncertain
terms when he reminded Islamabad that "times have changed in India",
implying that this is a different Govt. which will not bend to Pakistan’s
bullying tactics and misadventures. Both
defence Minister Arun Jaitley and National Security Advisor (NSA) Ajit Doval have
instructed the Indian Security forces to go all out and given them total
freedom to retaliate as they deem fit. This is a never before stance of India
against Pakistan. This marks an unprecedented toughening of India's stand on
border standoffs. Similar resistance was shown by India during the stand-off in
eastern Ladakh's Chumar area last month. After India refused to budge, China’s
People's Liberation Army (PLA) vacated its positions in the disputed territory
and agreed to the old positions.
But if we carefully analyse, we find that since May’14, the new
Indian Govt has completely changed its policy and strategy towards Pakistan in
its dealings and responses. These are part of a series of deft diplomatic moves
that India adopted since Modi became Prime Minister to block every attempt by
Pakistan to internationalise the Kashmir issue or humiliate India politically &
militarily by promoting the terror machinery as their strategic asset to gain
upper hand in the Kashmir dispute. To begin with, immediately after Modi Govt
came to power it declared the UN Military Observer Group (UNMOGIP) irrelevant
and made them vacate the Govt. accommodation they were using as their office in
New Delhi for decades. Then it took tough measures against the terror
organizations, their sympathisers and supports in J&K by hunting down and eliminating
many terrorists during encounters in last few months. Also it told the Hurriyat
and other such over ground Pakistani support groups that their days are
numbered, if they don’t change their stance and tactics. The never before
security measures resulted in the lowest ever infiltration of terrorists into Indian
territory from the Pak Jihad factories across the border in decades. According to
figures compiled by the Army HQ and intelligence agencies, compared to 270
infiltration attempts along the LoC last year, this year only 90 have been made
from Pakistan. While in 2013, 90 militants reportedly managed to sneak into J&K,
this year only 24 have been successful. June-Oct is the period of the year when
infiltration attempts are made by terrorists with cover fire assistance from
the Pak army due to melting of snow. Then calling off the foreign secretary level dialogue with
Pakistan because of its continued parleys with Hurriyat leaders was a master
stroke which put Pakistan in its place infront of the Jihadi elements in both
Pakistan and India, the sympathisers and supporters of the Kashmir cause in
Pakistan, India as well as all over the world. India scored the biggest victory
when Prime Minister Narendra Modi, addressing the UN General Assembly in New
York ensured that Kashmir was not allowed to dominate the agenda and gave befitting
reply to Pak PM Sharif by putting all onus on Pakistan for restoring talks and
made it very clear that terror and talks can’t go together and India will only
talk on its “terms & conditions” . This made the Kashmir issue became
irrelevant internationally and Pakistan lost its “K card” to score points over
India internally and internationally. Pakistan’s latest attempt at ceasefire
violation is mainly for 4 reasons - Firstly, they historically pushed militants
to J&K during June-Oct period to reinforce their strength before snow makes
the border areas inaccessible. Secondly, after the rebuff they received from
India in the form of cancellation of foreign secy. level talks and in UN
general assembly, Pakistan wants to bring the Kashmir issue to the forefront
again. Thirdly, due to the above incidents, Pakistani political and military
establishments have lost their credibility infront of the Jihadi elements in Pakistan
as well as in India specially in J&K and trying to reinforce their
credibility. Fourthly, Pak Army is
concerned that BJP may do well in the forthcoming assembly elections in J&K
and thus may result in a major shift in politico-economic-military situation in
J&K.
Modi Govt’s unprecedented, massive and effective response
and retaliation has made the Pakistani political and military establishment run
for cover. Not finding any escape route, they petitioned UNO for asking India
to stop the “ceasefire violation”. But Pakistan has tied itself into knots
after even the UN has refused to intervene and told them unambiguously that
Pakistan needs to sort this and all problems bilaterally with India. On the
other hand, Indian Govt. is prepared for a long haul and has instructed its security
forces to keep retaliating to inflict maximum damage on Pakistani infrastructure
and manpower. India has even refused “flag meetings” requested by Pakistan to
discuss the firings till they stop all cross border firing and infiltration as
it wants to underline the point that Islamabad cannot dictate the terms of
dialogue. Pakistani defence analysts have admitted that Pakistan’s aim of
targeting India to divert attention of Pakistani people from the internal
strife and to test the new Indian government has clearly backfired. India does
not want to give any space to Pakistan that can dilute or weaken the new Govts.
basic condition of 'no dialogue in the shadow of gun and terror'. As under
Narendra Modi, India is making
Pakistan pay a heavy price for its misadventures, he has become a target of
Pakistani thinkers, strategists, media and jihadi elements. Therefore, “Hate Modi”
is trending in social media and hackers are attacking Govt. of India websites. Some
Indian intellectuals, politicians and media are also attacking Modi for taking
such hardline against Pakistan as these elements “bake their bread” on so
called “Aman Ki Asha” projects and back channel diplomacy. But anybody who is sympathetic to
Pakistan or its actions can’t be a true Indian and these elements need to be
decimated by the Govt. once and for all as they are a threat to our sovereignty,
integrity and security.
I have always maintained that the problem we are facing today from
Pakistan is more a creation of our “inactions” of last 67 years, than the
“actions” of Pakistan. A misconception
has been fed into the minds of millions of Indians over the years by our
spineless, cowardice, power hungry, corrupt and incompetent politicians mainly
from the Congress and Communist background backed by equally unfit and corrupt
bureaucracy that a “strong & stable” Pakistan is in India’s interest. Thus,
it was a clear case of failure of Indian political decision making and the
result of shoddy & visionless strategic planning of certain unfit and
incompetent politicians and their foreign policy/security advisers that India
allowed Pakistan becomes a monster. The consequence of this colossal failure is
that Indian establishment’s cowardliness has endangered the integrity, sovereignty
and security of Indian state and its citizens. India has been tolerating Pakistan
and its evil design for far too long with patience and magnanimity, which has
been attacking and humiliating us at every opportunity. This approach has
obviously not worked and our “generosity” has been mistaken as our “weakness”.
Pakistan needs to realize that there is a severe price to be paid for the
dangerous game it has been playing with us. We must stop hoping that if we
pamper Pakistan with our acts of kindness, which we have been doing for last 67
years and indulge in our “Aman Ki Asha” projects, they will suddenly have this
monumental change of heart and become our best friend & neighbour. We need
to stop the peace charades, confidence building measures, cultural, sporting,
economic ties and stop deluding
ourselves that we are not at war with Pakistan (which we are for the last 67
years). The Modi Govts. long
term objective and interest is the negation of this failed rogue state for our
own benefit and the benefit of a peaceful and civilized world order.
.
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